Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal

In coastal and open ocean human activities, there is an increasing demand for accurate estimates of future sea state. In these activities, predictions of wave heights and periods are of particular importance. In this study, two different neural network strategies were employed to forecast significan...

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Main Authors: Makarynskyy, Oleg, Pires Silva, A., Makarynska, D., Ventura-Soares, C.
Format: Journal Article
Published: 2005
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46215
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author Makarynskyy, Oleg
Pires Silva, A.
Makarynska, D.
Ventura-Soares, C.
author_facet Makarynskyy, Oleg
Pires Silva, A.
Makarynska, D.
Ventura-Soares, C.
author_sort Makarynskyy, Oleg
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In coastal and open ocean human activities, there is an increasing demand for accurate estimates of future sea state. In these activities, predictions of wave heights and periods are of particular importance. In this study, two different neural network strategies were employed to forecast significant wave heights and zero-up-crossing wave periods 3, 6, 12 and 24 h in advance. In the first approach, eight simple separate neural nets were implemented to simulate every wave parameter over each prediction interval. In the second approach, only two networks provided simultaneous forecasts of these wave parameters for the four prediction intervals. Two independent sets of measurements from a directional wave buoy moored off the Portuguese west coast were used to train and to validate the artificial neural nets. Saliency analysis of the results permitted an optimization of the networks' architectures. The optimal learning algorithm for each case was also determined. The short-term forecasts of the wave parameters verified by actual observations demonstrate the suitability of the artificial neural technique.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-462152019-02-19T05:35:18Z Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal Makarynskyy, Oleg Pires Silva, A. Makarynska, D. Ventura-Soares, C. Artificial intelligence - Wave simulations - Saliency analysis - Optimization In coastal and open ocean human activities, there is an increasing demand for accurate estimates of future sea state. In these activities, predictions of wave heights and periods are of particular importance. In this study, two different neural network strategies were employed to forecast significant wave heights and zero-up-crossing wave periods 3, 6, 12 and 24 h in advance. In the first approach, eight simple separate neural nets were implemented to simulate every wave parameter over each prediction interval. In the second approach, only two networks provided simultaneous forecasts of these wave parameters for the four prediction intervals. Two independent sets of measurements from a directional wave buoy moored off the Portuguese west coast were used to train and to validate the artificial neural nets. Saliency analysis of the results permitted an optimization of the networks' architectures. The optimal learning algorithm for each case was also determined. The short-term forecasts of the wave parameters verified by actual observations demonstrate the suitability of the artificial neural technique. 2005 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46215 10.1016/j.cageo.2004.10.005 fulltext
spellingShingle Artificial intelligence - Wave simulations - Saliency analysis - Optimization
Makarynskyy, Oleg
Pires Silva, A.
Makarynska, D.
Ventura-Soares, C.
Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal
title Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal
title_full Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal
title_fullStr Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal
title_full_unstemmed Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal
title_short Artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of Portugal
title_sort artificial neural networks in wave predictions at the west coast of portugal
topic Artificial intelligence - Wave simulations - Saliency analysis - Optimization
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46215