Some stylized facts about international trade flows

Since the mid-1990s there has been a proliferation of empirical models in the trade literature. Focus has ranged from the effect of particular explanatory variables to improved econometric techniques. However, there appears to be a lack of analyses on large international trade datasets aiming at des...

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Main Authors: Harris, Mark, Konya, L., Matyas, L.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46159
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author Harris, Mark
Konya, L.
Matyas, L.
author_facet Harris, Mark
Konya, L.
Matyas, L.
author_sort Harris, Mark
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Since the mid-1990s there has been a proliferation of empirical models in the trade literature. Focus has ranged from the effect of particular explanatory variables to improved econometric techniques. However, there appears to be a lack of analyses on large international trade datasets aiming at describing the “stylized facts” of observed bilateral trade flows. Uncovering them is crucial as any empirical econometric model should reflect the basic properties of the data generating process. On the basis of a large panel dataset this paper finds that bilateral trade, despite being often unbalanced, tends to be reciprocal and persistent, and that the extensive margin of trade must not be disregarded. Moreover, bilateral trade flows are probably best modeled as a mixed panel of stationary and non-stationary processes. The stationary vs non-stationary separation of these flows, although not random, does not appear to be related to any common characteristics of the trading partners.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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publishDate 2012
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-461592017-09-13T16:08:34Z Some stylized facts about international trade flows Harris, Mark Konya, L. Matyas, L. bilateral trade flow gravity model Since the mid-1990s there has been a proliferation of empirical models in the trade literature. Focus has ranged from the effect of particular explanatory variables to improved econometric techniques. However, there appears to be a lack of analyses on large international trade datasets aiming at describing the “stylized facts” of observed bilateral trade flows. Uncovering them is crucial as any empirical econometric model should reflect the basic properties of the data generating process. On the basis of a large panel dataset this paper finds that bilateral trade, despite being often unbalanced, tends to be reciprocal and persistent, and that the extensive margin of trade must not be disregarded. Moreover, bilateral trade flows are probably best modeled as a mixed panel of stationary and non-stationary processes. The stationary vs non-stationary separation of these flows, although not random, does not appear to be related to any common characteristics of the trading partners. 2012 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46159 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2012.01054.x Wiley-Blackwell Publishing Ltd. restricted
spellingShingle bilateral trade flow
gravity model
Harris, Mark
Konya, L.
Matyas, L.
Some stylized facts about international trade flows
title Some stylized facts about international trade flows
title_full Some stylized facts about international trade flows
title_fullStr Some stylized facts about international trade flows
title_full_unstemmed Some stylized facts about international trade flows
title_short Some stylized facts about international trade flows
title_sort some stylized facts about international trade flows
topic bilateral trade flow
gravity model
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/46159