Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance

This paper illustrates the static optimisation strategies for climate change mitigation and adaptation using net marginal benefit analysis, and goes on to develop a dynamic optimisation solution using a modified Hotelling approach. Unfortunately, the situation required for a Hotelling-type optimisat...

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Main Authors: Maybee, Bryan, Packey, Daniel, Ripple, Ronald
Format: Journal Article
Published: Economic Society of Australia 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2011.00158.x/pdf
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/45171
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author Maybee, Bryan
Packey, Daniel
Ripple, Ronald
author_facet Maybee, Bryan
Packey, Daniel
Ripple, Ronald
author_sort Maybee, Bryan
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper illustrates the static optimisation strategies for climate change mitigation and adaptation using net marginal benefit analysis, and goes on to develop a dynamic optimisation solution using a modified Hotelling approach. Unfortunately, the situation required for a Hotelling-type optimisation to hold is rarely observed in practice, as there are numerous sources of uncertainty that impact upon a forward-looking optimisation exercise. The situation is no different within the climate change debate, with opportunities and threats to the value-maximising exercise arising as uncertainties are resolved through new information. Choices of how to deal with and take advantage of these opportunities and threats are keys to identifying the optimal trade-off between the strategies, and need to be included in the calculation of the optimal mixture of mitigation and adaptation activities. Based on reasonable assumptions, this paper discusses the impact of the real options valuation technique on the theoreticalHotelling-type optimisation to show what the effects of its application would have on the theoretical dynamic optimal solution and what those economic implications represent to public policy.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-451712019-02-19T04:27:57Z Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance Maybee, Bryan Packey, Daniel Ripple, Ronald real options mitigation climate change policy optimisation adaptation This paper illustrates the static optimisation strategies for climate change mitigation and adaptation using net marginal benefit analysis, and goes on to develop a dynamic optimisation solution using a modified Hotelling approach. Unfortunately, the situation required for a Hotelling-type optimisation to hold is rarely observed in practice, as there are numerous sources of uncertainty that impact upon a forward-looking optimisation exercise. The situation is no different within the climate change debate, with opportunities and threats to the value-maximising exercise arising as uncertainties are resolved through new information. Choices of how to deal with and take advantage of these opportunities and threats are keys to identifying the optimal trade-off between the strategies, and need to be included in the calculation of the optimal mixture of mitigation and adaptation activities. Based on reasonable assumptions, this paper discusses the impact of the real options valuation technique on the theoreticalHotelling-type optimisation to show what the effects of its application would have on the theoretical dynamic optimal solution and what those economic implications represent to public policy. 2012 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/45171 http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2011.00158.x/pdf Economic Society of Australia restricted
spellingShingle real options
mitigation
climate change policy
optimisation
adaptation
Maybee, Bryan
Packey, Daniel
Ripple, Ronald
Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance
title Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance
title_full Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance
title_fullStr Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance
title_short Climate Change Policy: The Effect of Real Options Valuation on the Optimal Mitigation-Adaptation Balance
title_sort climate change policy: the effect of real options valuation on the optimal mitigation-adaptation balance
topic real options
mitigation
climate change policy
optimisation
adaptation
url http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1759-3441.2011.00158.x/pdf
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/45171