Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example

Investments in the mining and minerals industry are considered to be risky. The major challenge of project evaluation is how to deal with the uncertainty involved in capital investment. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methods, Decision Trees (DT), Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and Real Options (RO) are co...

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Main Author: Topal, Erkan
Format: Journal Article
Published: Inderscience Publishers 2008
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/44077
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author Topal, Erkan
author_facet Topal, Erkan
author_sort Topal, Erkan
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Investments in the mining and minerals industry are considered to be risky. The major challenge of project evaluation is how to deal with the uncertainty involved in capital investment. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methods, Decision Trees (DT), Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and Real Options (RO) are commonly used for evaluating mining projects. This paper briefly reviews the previous studies, outlines and summarises above four methods. Subsequently it employs these methods to evaluate a mining project where the decision whether or not to open the mine is considered. Pros and cons of investigated methods are discussed in the final section. © 2008 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-440772017-09-13T14:03:55Z Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example Topal, Erkan Investments in the mining and minerals industry are considered to be risky. The major challenge of project evaluation is how to deal with the uncertainty involved in capital investment. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methods, Decision Trees (DT), Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) and Real Options (RO) are commonly used for evaluating mining projects. This paper briefly reviews the previous studies, outlines and summarises above four methods. Subsequently it employs these methods to evaluate a mining project where the decision whether or not to open the mine is considered. Pros and cons of investigated methods are discussed in the final section. © 2008 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd. 2008 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/44077 10.1504/IJMME.2008.020457 Inderscience Publishers restricted
spellingShingle Topal, Erkan
Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example
title Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example
title_full Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example
title_fullStr Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example
title_full_unstemmed Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example
title_short Evaluation of a mining project using Discounted Cash Flow analysis, Decision Tree analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Real Options using an example
title_sort evaluation of a mining project using discounted cash flow analysis, decision tree analysis, monte carlo simulation and real options using an example
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/44077