Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks

As evidenced through both a historical and contemporary number of reported over-runs, managing projects can be a risky business. Managers are faced with the need to effectively work with a multitude of parties and deal with a wealth of interlocking uncertainties. This paper describes a modelling pro...

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Main Authors: Ackermann, Fran, Howick, S., Quigley, J., Walls, L., Houghton, Tom
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier BV * North-Holland 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/42364
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author Ackermann, Fran
Howick, S.
Quigley, J.
Walls, L.
Houghton, Tom
author_facet Ackermann, Fran
Howick, S.
Quigley, J.
Walls, L.
Houghton, Tom
author_sort Ackermann, Fran
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description As evidenced through both a historical and contemporary number of reported over-runs, managing projects can be a risky business. Managers are faced with the need to effectively work with a multitude of parties and deal with a wealth of interlocking uncertainties. This paper describes a modelling process developed to assist managers facing such situations. The process helps managers to develop a comprehensive appreciation of risks and gain an understanding of the impact of the interactions between these risks through explicitly engaging a wide stakeholder base using a group support system and causal mapping process. Using a real case the paper describes the modelling process and outcomes along with its implications, before reflecting on the insights, limitations and future research.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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last_indexed 2025-11-14T09:11:35Z
publishDate 2014
publisher Elsevier BV * North-Holland
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-423642017-09-13T14:26:11Z Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks Ackermann, Fran Howick, S. Quigley, J. Walls, L. Houghton, Tom Risk analysis Problem structuring group decision making As evidenced through both a historical and contemporary number of reported over-runs, managing projects can be a risky business. Managers are faced with the need to effectively work with a multitude of parties and deal with a wealth of interlocking uncertainties. This paper describes a modelling process developed to assist managers facing such situations. The process helps managers to develop a comprehensive appreciation of risks and gain an understanding of the impact of the interactions between these risks through explicitly engaging a wide stakeholder base using a group support system and causal mapping process. Using a real case the paper describes the modelling process and outcomes along with its implications, before reflecting on the insights, limitations and future research. 2014 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/42364 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.03.035 Elsevier BV * North-Holland restricted
spellingShingle Risk analysis
Problem structuring
group decision making
Ackermann, Fran
Howick, S.
Quigley, J.
Walls, L.
Houghton, Tom
Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
title Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
title_full Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
title_fullStr Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
title_full_unstemmed Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
title_short Systemic risk elicitation: Using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
title_sort systemic risk elicitation: using causal maps to engage stakeholders and build a comprehensive view of risks
topic Risk analysis
Problem structuring
group decision making
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/42364