Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses

Unplanned dilution and ore loss directly influence not only the productivity of underground stopes, but also the profitability of the entire mining process. Stope dilution is a result of complex interactions between a number of factors, and cannot be predicted prior to mining. In this study, unplann...

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Main Authors: Jang, Hyong Doo, Topal, Erkan, Kawamura, Y.
Format: Journal Article
Published: South African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy 2015
Online Access:http://www.scielo.org.za/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0038-223X2015000500018
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/42257
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author Jang, Hyong Doo
Topal, Erkan
Kawamura, Y.
author_facet Jang, Hyong Doo
Topal, Erkan
Kawamura, Y.
author_sort Jang, Hyong Doo
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Unplanned dilution and ore loss directly influence not only the productivity of underground stopes, but also the profitability of the entire mining process. Stope dilution is a result of complex interactions between a number of factors, and cannot be predicted prior to mining. In this study, unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction models were established using multiple linear and nonlinear regression analysis (MLRA and MNRA), as well as an artificial neural network (ANN) method based on 1067 datasets with ten causative factors from three underground longhole stoping mines in Western Australia. Models were established for individual mines, as well as a general model that includes all of the mine data-sets. The correlation coefficient (R) was used to evaluate the methods, and the values for MLRA, MNRA, and ANN compared with the general model were 0.419, 0.438, and 0.719, respectively. Considering that the current unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction for the mines investigated yielded an R of 0.088, the ANN model results are noteworthy. The proposed ANN model can be used directly as a practical tool to predict unplanned dilution and ore loss in mines, which will not only enhance productivity, but will also be beneficial for stope planning and design.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-422572017-01-30T14:58:29Z Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses Jang, Hyong Doo Topal, Erkan Kawamura, Y. Unplanned dilution and ore loss directly influence not only the productivity of underground stopes, but also the profitability of the entire mining process. Stope dilution is a result of complex interactions between a number of factors, and cannot be predicted prior to mining. In this study, unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction models were established using multiple linear and nonlinear regression analysis (MLRA and MNRA), as well as an artificial neural network (ANN) method based on 1067 datasets with ten causative factors from three underground longhole stoping mines in Western Australia. Models were established for individual mines, as well as a general model that includes all of the mine data-sets. The correlation coefficient (R) was used to evaluate the methods, and the values for MLRA, MNRA, and ANN compared with the general model were 0.419, 0.438, and 0.719, respectively. Considering that the current unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction for the mines investigated yielded an R of 0.088, the ANN model results are noteworthy. The proposed ANN model can be used directly as a practical tool to predict unplanned dilution and ore loss in mines, which will not only enhance productivity, but will also be beneficial for stope planning and design. 2015 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/42257 http://www.scielo.org.za/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0038-223X2015000500018 South African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy fulltext
spellingShingle Jang, Hyong Doo
Topal, Erkan
Kawamura, Y.
Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
title Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
title_full Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
title_fullStr Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
title_full_unstemmed Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
title_short Unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
title_sort unplanned dilution and ore loss prediction in longhole stoping mines via multiple regression and artificial neural network analyses
url http://www.scielo.org.za/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0038-223X2015000500018
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/42257