Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties

This paper reports how the economic performance of a chemical process plant is affected by material flow uncertainties from the plant inlet and outlet. Two chance-constrained optimization models were proposed. The models were tested using case studies of an existing gas processing plant. Profit opti...

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Main Authors: Woldetensay, Mesfin, Mhadazir, S., Lee, M.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier Ireland Ltd. 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/39706
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author Woldetensay, Mesfin
Mhadazir, S.
Lee, M.
author_facet Woldetensay, Mesfin
Mhadazir, S.
Lee, M.
author_sort Woldetensay, Mesfin
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper reports how the economic performance of a chemical process plant is affected by material flow uncertainties from the plant inlet and outlet. Two chance-constrained optimization models were proposed. The models were tested using case studies of an existing gas processing plant. Profit optimization for the case studies was made with respect to the reliability of holding the process constraints at a certain confidence level [0.5, 1]. The optimal profit change for uncertainty from the plant inlet within the confidence interval [0.96, 1] was 86%. On the other hand, the optimal profit change for uncertainty from the plant outlet was only 2% for the same confidence level interval considered. This suggests that the uncertainty from the plant inlet has a major impact on the overall economic performance of the plant. Sensitivity analysis showed how uncertain parameters from both plant sides can affect the overall profit significantly.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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publishDate 2013
publisher Elsevier Ireland Ltd.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-397062017-09-13T14:30:53Z Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties Woldetensay, Mesfin Mhadazir, S. Lee, M. Uncertainty HYSYS Profit GAMS Optimization This paper reports how the economic performance of a chemical process plant is affected by material flow uncertainties from the plant inlet and outlet. Two chance-constrained optimization models were proposed. The models were tested using case studies of an existing gas processing plant. Profit optimization for the case studies was made with respect to the reliability of holding the process constraints at a certain confidence level [0.5, 1]. The optimal profit change for uncertainty from the plant inlet within the confidence interval [0.96, 1] was 86%. On the other hand, the optimal profit change for uncertainty from the plant outlet was only 2% for the same confidence level interval considered. This suggests that the uncertainty from the plant inlet has a major impact on the overall economic performance of the plant. Sensitivity analysis showed how uncertain parameters from both plant sides can affect the overall profit significantly. 2013 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/39706 10.1016/j.compchemeng.2013.05.026 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. restricted
spellingShingle Uncertainty
HYSYS
Profit
GAMS
Optimization
Woldetensay, Mesfin
Mhadazir, S.
Lee, M.
Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
title Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
title_full Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
title_fullStr Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
title_full_unstemmed Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
title_short Profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
title_sort profit optimization for chemical process plant based on a probabilistic approach by incorporating material flow uncertainties
topic Uncertainty
HYSYS
Profit
GAMS
Optimization
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/39706