A comparison of multivariate and univariate time series approaches to modelling and forecasting emergency department demand in Western Australia

QR Code

A comparison of multivariate and univariate time series approaches to modelling and forecasting emergency department demand in Western Australia

Objective: To develop multivariate vector-ARMA (VARMA) forecast models for predicting emergency department (ED) demand in Western Australia (WA) and compare them to the benchmark univariate autoregressive moving average (ARMA) and Winters’ models. Methods: Seven-year monthly WA state-wide public...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Aboagye-Sarfo, P., Mai, Q., Sanfilippo, F., Preen, D., Stewart, Louise, Fatovich, D.
Format:	Journal Article
Published:	Academic Press 2015
Subjects:	VARMA models Emergency department demand ARMA models Modelling and forecasting medical services Winters’ method Time series analysis
Online Access:	http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/36279

Similar Items

Growth in Western Australian emergency department demand during 2007–2013 is due to people with urgent and complex care needs
by: Aboagye-Sarfo, P., et al.
Published: (2015)

Morbidity associated with heroin overdose presentations to an emergency department: A 10-year record linkage study
by: Fatovich, D., et al.
Published: (2010)

A Prospective Study of Non-Fatal Heroin Overdose
by: Fatovich, D., et al.
Published: (2008)

Performance of GARCH models in forecasting stock market volatility.
by: Choo, Wei Chong, et al.
Published: (1999)

Mathematical modelling the emergence of viruses in naïve populations
by: Fairbanks, Emma Louise
Published: (2022)

Tourism demand forecasting: opportunities and new approaches
by: Wen, Long
Published: (2019)

Factors associated with emergency department green zone utilization in hospital
by: W. D. S., Arinah, et al.
Published: (2016)

Assessing cognition in elderly patients presenting to the emergency department
by: Hare, Malcolm, et al.
Published: (2008)

Managing aggression in the emergency department: promoting an interdisciplinary approach
by: Rintoul, Y., et al.
Published: (2009)

Error correction modelling and dynamic specifications as a conduit to outperforming the random walk in exchange rate forecasting
by: Moosa, I., et al.
Published: (2014)

The unbeatable random walk in exchange rate forecasting: Reality or myth?
by: Moosa, I., et al.
Published: (2014)

Initial Development of a Patient Reported Experience Measure for Older Adults Attending the Emergency Department: Part I—Interviews with Service Users
by: Graham, B., et al.
Published: (2023)

Evidence-based paramedic models of care to reduce unnecessary emergency department attendance – feasibility and safety
by: Finn, Judith, et al.
Published: (2013)

MODELLING AND FORECASTING VOLATILITY BY GARCH-TYPE MODELS: THE CASE OF VIETNAM STOCK EXCHANGE
by: Mai, Thi Thanh Hien
Published: (2008)

Forecasting stock market return with nonlinearity: a genetic programming approach
by: Ding, Shusheng, et al.
Published: (2020)

Forecasting tourism demand with an improved mixed data sampling model
by: Wen, Long, et al.
Published: (2020)

Evaluating nurses' knowledge and skills in the detection of child abuse in the Emergency Department
by: Keane, C., et al.
Published: (2008)

Initial Development of a Patient-Reported Experience Measure for Older Adults Attending the Emergency Department: Part II—Focus Groups with Professional Caregivers
by: Graham, B., et al.
Published: (2023)

Modelling possibility of short-term forecasting of market parameters for portfolio selection
by: Dokuchaev, Nikolai
Published: (2015)

Enhancing the forecasting power of exchange rate models by introducing nonlinearity: Does it work?
by: Burns, Kelly, et al.
Published: (2015)

The Monetary Model of Exchange Rates is Better than the Random Walk in Out-Of-Sample Forecasting
by: Moosa, I., et al.
Published: (2013)

Forecasting Volatility and Analyzing the Features of Volatility by three different methods- empirical study based on SSE 50ETF
by: Zou, YuanFang
Published: (2019)

Modeling and forecasting volatility of index return: an empirical evidence of FTSE 100 Index
by: ZHU, Lin
Published: (2013)

Robust detection measures and robust parameter estimation methods in circular univariate and simple circular regression model
by: Mahmood, Ehab Abdulsalam
Published: (2017)

An epidemic of abuse and violence: Nurse on the front line
by: Chapman, Rose, et al.
Published: (2006)

Is utilisation of computed tomography justified in clinical practice? Part 1: application in the emergency department.
by: Sun, Zhonghua, et al.
Published: (2010)

An exploration of the perceptions of emergency department nursing staff towards the role of a domestic abuse nurse specialist: a qualitative study
by: McGarry, Julie, et al.
Published: (2015)

Evaluating the use of real-time data in forecasting output levels and recessionary events in the US
by: Aristidou, Chrystalleni, et al.
Published: (2018)

A paradigm of inquiry for applied real estate research : integrating econometric and simulation methods in time and space specific forecasting models : Australian office market case study.
by: Kummerow, Max F.
Published: (1997)

Taylor rules and exchange rate forecasting for inflation targeting regimes
by: Hu, Wenjiao
Published: (2023)

Differentiating conceptual modelling from data modelling, knowledge modelling and ontology modelling and a notation for ontology modelling
by: Dillon, Tharam S., et al.
Published: (2008)

The economic impact of uncertain tourism demand in Hawaii: risk in a computable general equilibrium model
by: Pratt, Stephen A.
Published: (2009)

Empirical modelling of the solar spectral influence on photovoltaic devices for improved performance forecasting
by: Daxini, Rajiv
Published: (2024)

Numerical studies of urban heat island in greater Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia : from surface and boundary layer conditions to local air pollution
by: Ooi, Chel Gee
Published: (2017)

Time series modeling of water level at Sulaiman Station, Klang River, Malaysia
by: Galavi, Hadi
Published: (2010)

Including spatial distribution in a data-driven rainfall-runoff model to improve reservoir inflow forecasting in Taiwan
by: Meng-Jung, T., et al.
Published: (2014)

Best of the best: a comparison of factor models
by: Ahmed, Shamim, et al.
Published: (2018)

Human behaviour in emergency situations: comparisons between aviation and rail domains
by: Stedmon, Alex, et al.
Published: (2015)

Efficiency of 4253HT smoothers in extracting signal from noise and their applications in forecasting
by: Khairol Azmi, Nurul Nisa'
Published: (2019)

Kajian Produktiviti Melalui Appilkasi Pemodelan Dan Simulasi Komputer Di Industri Kecil Dan Sederhana (Iks)
by: Mohd Sani, Mohd Shahrir
Published: (2003)