A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.

A theoretical explanation of a time-to-failure relation is presented, with this relationship [...] then used to describe the failure of materials. This provides the potential to predict timing (tf − t) immediately before failure by extrapolating the trajectory [...] as it asymptotes to zero with no...

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Main Authors: Hao, S., Liu, C., Lu, Chunsheng, Elsworth, D.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2016
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/32295
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author Hao, S.
Liu, C.
Lu, Chunsheng
Elsworth, D.
author_facet Hao, S.
Liu, C.
Lu, Chunsheng
Elsworth, D.
author_sort Hao, S.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description A theoretical explanation of a time-to-failure relation is presented, with this relationship [...] then used to describe the failure of materials. This provides the potential to predict timing (tf − t) immediately before failure by extrapolating the trajectory [...] as it asymptotes to zero with no need to fit unknown exponents as previously proposed in critical power law behaviors. This generalized relation is verified by comparison with approaches to criticality for volcanic eruptions and creep failure. A new relation based on changes with stress is proposed as an alternative expression of Voight’s relation, which is widely used to describe the accelerating precursory signals before material failure and broadly applied to volcanic eruptions, landslides and other phenomena. The new generalized relation reduces to Voight’s relation if stress is limited to increase at a constant rate with time. This implies that the time-derivatives in Voight’s analysis may be a subset of a more general expression connecting stress derivatives, and thus provides a potential method for forecasting these events.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-322952017-09-13T15:25:11Z A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides. Hao, S. Liu, C. Lu, Chunsheng Elsworth, D. A theoretical explanation of a time-to-failure relation is presented, with this relationship [...] then used to describe the failure of materials. This provides the potential to predict timing (tf − t) immediately before failure by extrapolating the trajectory [...] as it asymptotes to zero with no need to fit unknown exponents as previously proposed in critical power law behaviors. This generalized relation is verified by comparison with approaches to criticality for volcanic eruptions and creep failure. A new relation based on changes with stress is proposed as an alternative expression of Voight’s relation, which is widely used to describe the accelerating precursory signals before material failure and broadly applied to volcanic eruptions, landslides and other phenomena. The new generalized relation reduces to Voight’s relation if stress is limited to increase at a constant rate with time. This implies that the time-derivatives in Voight’s analysis may be a subset of a more general expression connecting stress derivatives, and thus provides a potential method for forecasting these events. 2016 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/32295 10.1038/srep27877 Nature Publishing Group fulltext
spellingShingle Hao, S.
Liu, C.
Lu, Chunsheng
Elsworth, D.
A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
title A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
title_full A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
title_fullStr A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
title_full_unstemmed A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
title_short A relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
title_sort relation to predict the failure of materials and potential application to volcanic eruptions and landslides.
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/32295