Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems

Stochastic differential equation (SDE) is a very important mathematical tool to describe complex systems in which noise plays an important role. SDE models have been widely used to study the dynamic properties of various nonlinear systems in biology, engineering, finance, and economics, as well as p...

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Main Authors: Tian, T., Zhou, Y., Wu, Yong Hong, Ge, X.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Gordon and Breach 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31895
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author Tian, T.
Zhou, Y.
Wu, Yong Hong
Ge, X.
author_facet Tian, T.
Zhou, Y.
Wu, Yong Hong
Ge, X.
author_sort Tian, T.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Stochastic differential equation (SDE) is a very important mathematical tool to describe complex systems in which noise plays an important role. SDE models have been widely used to study the dynamic properties of various nonlinear systems in biology, engineering, finance, and economics, as well as physical sciences. Since a SDE can generate unlimited numbers of trajectories, it is difficult to estimate model parameters based on experimental observations which may represent only one trajectory of the stochastic model. Although substantial research efforts have been made to develop effective methods, it is still a challenge to infer unknown parameters in SDE models from observations that may have large variations. Using an interest rate model as a test problem, in this work we use the Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to estimate unknown parameters in SDE models.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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publishDate 2014
publisher Gordon and Breach
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-318952017-09-13T16:07:20Z Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems Tian, T. Zhou, Y. Wu, Yong Hong Ge, X. mathematical tools inference engines - Bayesian inference dynamic property Bayesian networks estimation physical science stochastic differential equations estimation of parameters Markov chain Monte Carlo method interest rate models Stochastic differential equation (SDE) is a very important mathematical tool to describe complex systems in which noise plays an important role. SDE models have been widely used to study the dynamic properties of various nonlinear systems in biology, engineering, finance, and economics, as well as physical sciences. Since a SDE can generate unlimited numbers of trajectories, it is difficult to estimate model parameters based on experimental observations which may represent only one trajectory of the stochastic model. Although substantial research efforts have been made to develop effective methods, it is still a challenge to infer unknown parameters in SDE models from observations that may have large variations. Using an interest rate model as a test problem, in this work we use the Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to estimate unknown parameters in SDE models. 2014 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31895 10.1155/2014/317059 Gordon and Breach fulltext
spellingShingle mathematical tools
inference engines - Bayesian inference
dynamic property
Bayesian networks
estimation
physical science
stochastic differential equations
estimation of parameters
Markov chain Monte Carlo method
interest rate models
Tian, T.
Zhou, Y.
Wu, Yong Hong
Ge, X.
Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
title Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
title_full Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
title_fullStr Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
title_short Estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
title_sort estimation of parameters in mean-reverting stochastic systems
topic mathematical tools
inference engines - Bayesian inference
dynamic property
Bayesian networks
estimation
physical science
stochastic differential equations
estimation of parameters
Markov chain Monte Carlo method
interest rate models
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31895