Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution

We examine the relationship between Chinese aggregate production and consumption of three main energy commodities: coal, oil and renewable energy. Both autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and vector error correction modeling (VECM) show that Chinese growth is led by all three energy sources. Econo...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Bloch, Harry, Rafiq, S., Salim, Ruhul
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier BV * North-Holland 2015
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31279
_version_ 1848753334016540672
author Bloch, Harry
Rafiq, S.
Salim, Ruhul
author_facet Bloch, Harry
Rafiq, S.
Salim, Ruhul
author_sort Bloch, Harry
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description We examine the relationship between Chinese aggregate production and consumption of three main energy commodities: coal, oil and renewable energy. Both autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and vector error correction modeling (VECM) show that Chinese growth is led by all three energy sources. Economic growth also causes coal, oil and renewables consumption, but with negative own-price effects for coal and oil and a strong possibility of fuel substitution through positive cross-price effects. The results further show coal consumption causing pollution, while renewable energy consumption reduces emissions. No significant causation on emissions is found for oil. Hence, making coal both absolutely and relatively expensive compared to oil and renewable energy encourages shifting from coal to oil and renewable energy, thereby improving economic and environmental sustainability.
first_indexed 2025-11-14T08:22:51Z
format Journal Article
id curtin-20.500.11937-31279
institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-14T08:22:51Z
publishDate 2015
publisher Elsevier BV * North-Holland
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling curtin-20.500.11937-312792017-11-03T01:15:44Z Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution Bloch, Harry Rafiq, S. Salim, Ruhul Error correction model Environmental sustainability Fuel substitution ARDL Pollution China We examine the relationship between Chinese aggregate production and consumption of three main energy commodities: coal, oil and renewable energy. Both autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and vector error correction modeling (VECM) show that Chinese growth is led by all three energy sources. Economic growth also causes coal, oil and renewables consumption, but with negative own-price effects for coal and oil and a strong possibility of fuel substitution through positive cross-price effects. The results further show coal consumption causing pollution, while renewable energy consumption reduces emissions. No significant causation on emissions is found for oil. Hence, making coal both absolutely and relatively expensive compared to oil and renewable energy encourages shifting from coal to oil and renewable energy, thereby improving economic and environmental sustainability. 2015 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31279 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.09.017 Elsevier BV * North-Holland fulltext
spellingShingle Error correction model
Environmental sustainability
Fuel substitution
ARDL
Pollution
China
Bloch, Harry
Rafiq, S.
Salim, Ruhul
Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution
title Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution
title_full Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution
title_fullStr Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution
title_full_unstemmed Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution
title_short Economic Growth with Coal, Oil and Renewable Energy Consumption in China: Prospects for Fuel Substitution
title_sort economic growth with coal, oil and renewable energy consumption in china: prospects for fuel substitution
topic Error correction model
Environmental sustainability
Fuel substitution
ARDL
Pollution
China
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31279