The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change
Refugia – areas that may facilitate the persistence of species during large-scale, long-term climatic change – are increasingly important for conservation planning. There are many methods for identifying refugia, but the ability to quantify their potential for facilitating species persistence (ie th...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Journal Article |
| Published: |
The Ecological Society of America
2015
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| Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/29924 |
| _version_ | 1848752940664225792 |
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| author | Keppel, Gunnar Monkany, K. Wardell-Johnson, Grant Phillips, B. Welbergen, J. Reside, A. |
| author_facet | Keppel, Gunnar Monkany, K. Wardell-Johnson, Grant Phillips, B. Welbergen, J. Reside, A. |
| author_sort | Keppel, Gunnar |
| building | Curtin Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Refugia – areas that may facilitate the persistence of species during large-scale, long-term climatic change – are increasingly important for conservation planning. There are many methods for identifying refugia, but the ability to quantify their potential for facilitating species persistence (ie their “capacity”) remains elusive. We propose a flexible framework for prioritizing future refugia, based on their capacity. This framework can be applied through various modeling approaches and consists of three steps: (1) definition of scope, scale, and resolution; (2) identification and quantification; and (3) prioritization for conservation. Capacity is quantified by multiple indicators, including environmental stability, microclimatic heterogeneity, size, and accessibility of the refugium. Using an integrated, semi-mechanistic modeling technique, we illustrate how this approach can be implemented to identify refugia for the plant diversity of Tasmania, Australia. The highest- capacity climate-change refugia were found primarily in cool, wet, and topographically complex environments, several of which we identify as high priorities for biodiversity conservation and management. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-14T08:16:36Z |
| format | Journal Article |
| id | curtin-20.500.11937-29924 |
| institution | Curtin University Malaysia |
| institution_category | Local University |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-14T08:16:36Z |
| publishDate | 2015 |
| publisher | The Ecological Society of America |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | curtin-20.500.11937-299242017-09-13T15:52:27Z The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change Keppel, Gunnar Monkany, K. Wardell-Johnson, Grant Phillips, B. Welbergen, J. Reside, A. Refugia – areas that may facilitate the persistence of species during large-scale, long-term climatic change – are increasingly important for conservation planning. There are many methods for identifying refugia, but the ability to quantify their potential for facilitating species persistence (ie their “capacity”) remains elusive. We propose a flexible framework for prioritizing future refugia, based on their capacity. This framework can be applied through various modeling approaches and consists of three steps: (1) definition of scope, scale, and resolution; (2) identification and quantification; and (3) prioritization for conservation. Capacity is quantified by multiple indicators, including environmental stability, microclimatic heterogeneity, size, and accessibility of the refugium. Using an integrated, semi-mechanistic modeling technique, we illustrate how this approach can be implemented to identify refugia for the plant diversity of Tasmania, Australia. The highest- capacity climate-change refugia were found primarily in cool, wet, and topographically complex environments, several of which we identify as high priorities for biodiversity conservation and management. 2015 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/29924 10.1890/140055 The Ecological Society of America fulltext |
| spellingShingle | Keppel, Gunnar Monkany, K. Wardell-Johnson, Grant Phillips, B. Welbergen, J. Reside, A. The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| title | The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| title_full | The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| title_fullStr | The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| title_full_unstemmed | The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| title_short | The capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| title_sort | capacity of refugia for conservation planning under climate change |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/29924 |