Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect

This paper presents a structural change test for panel data models in which the break (or the change) affects some, but not all, cross-section units in the panel. The test is robust to non-normal, heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors, as well as end-of-sample structural change. The test amounts...

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Main Authors: Pauwels, L., Chan, Felix, Mancini Griffoli, T.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/2697
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author Pauwels, L.
Chan, Felix
Mancini Griffoli, T.
author_facet Pauwels, L.
Chan, Felix
Mancini Griffoli, T.
author_sort Pauwels, L.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper presents a structural change test for panel data models in which the break (or the change) affects some, but not all, cross-section units in the panel. The test is robust to non-normal, heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors, as well as end-of-sample structural change. The test amounts to computing and comparing pre- and post-break sample statistics as Chow (1960) type F statistics averaged over cross-section units. The cases of known and unknown break date are both considered. Under mild assumptions, the test has a limiting standard normal distribution as the number of cross-sections tends to infinity. Monte Carlo experiments show that the test has good size and power under a wide range of circumstances, including when the break date is unknown and differs across individual units, and when errors exhibit cross-section dependence. Finally, the test is illustrated by seeking a break in the dynamics of trade among euro area countries following the introduction of the euro.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-26972017-09-13T16:06:25Z Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect Pauwels, L. Chan, Felix Mancini Griffoli, T. euro effect on trade parameter stability common correlated effects cross-section dependence structural break gravity model This paper presents a structural change test for panel data models in which the break (or the change) affects some, but not all, cross-section units in the panel. The test is robust to non-normal, heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors, as well as end-of-sample structural change. The test amounts to computing and comparing pre- and post-break sample statistics as Chow (1960) type F statistics averaged over cross-section units. The cases of known and unknown break date are both considered. Under mild assumptions, the test has a limiting standard normal distribution as the number of cross-sections tends to infinity. Monte Carlo experiments show that the test has good size and power under a wide range of circumstances, including when the break date is unknown and differs across individual units, and when errors exhibit cross-section dependence. Finally, the test is illustrated by seeking a break in the dynamics of trade among euro area countries following the introduction of the euro. 2012 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/2697 10.1515/1941-1928.1141 Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co. KG fulltext
spellingShingle euro effect on trade
parameter stability
common correlated effects
cross-section dependence
structural break
gravity model
Pauwels, L.
Chan, Felix
Mancini Griffoli, T.
Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect
title Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect
title_full Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect
title_fullStr Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect
title_full_unstemmed Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect
title_short Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect
title_sort testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the euro’s trade effect
topic euro effect on trade
parameter stability
common correlated effects
cross-section dependence
structural break
gravity model
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/2697