Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents

The evolution of industrial-era warming across the continents and oceans provides a context for future climate change and is important for determining climate sensitivity and the processes that control regional warming. Here we use post-ad 1500 palaeoclimate records to show that sustained industrial...

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Main Authors: Abram, N., McGregor, H., Tierney, J., Evans, M., McKay, N., Kaufman, D., Thirumalai, K., Martrat, B., Goosse, H., Phipps, S., Steig, E., Kilbourne, K., Saenger, C., Zinke, Jens, Leduc, G., Addison, J., Mortyn, P., Seidenkrantz, M., Sicre, M., Selvaraj, K., Filipsson, H., Neukom, R., Gergis, J., Curran, M., Von Gunten, L.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Nature Publishing Group 2016
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/23661
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author Abram, N.
McGregor, H.
Tierney, J.
Evans, M.
McKay, N.
Kaufman, D.
Thirumalai, K.
Martrat, B.
Goosse, H.
Phipps, S.
Steig, E.
Kilbourne, K.
Saenger, C.
Zinke, Jens
Leduc, G.
Addison, J.
Mortyn, P.
Seidenkrantz, M.
Sicre, M.
Selvaraj, K.
Filipsson, H.
Neukom, R.
Gergis, J.
Curran, M.
Von Gunten, L.
author_facet Abram, N.
McGregor, H.
Tierney, J.
Evans, M.
McKay, N.
Kaufman, D.
Thirumalai, K.
Martrat, B.
Goosse, H.
Phipps, S.
Steig, E.
Kilbourne, K.
Saenger, C.
Zinke, Jens
Leduc, G.
Addison, J.
Mortyn, P.
Seidenkrantz, M.
Sicre, M.
Selvaraj, K.
Filipsson, H.
Neukom, R.
Gergis, J.
Curran, M.
Von Gunten, L.
author_sort Abram, N.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The evolution of industrial-era warming across the continents and oceans provides a context for future climate change and is important for determining climate sensitivity and the processes that control regional warming. Here we use post-ad 1500 palaeoclimate records to show that sustained industrial-era warming of the tropical oceans first developed during the mid-nineteenth century and was nearly synchronous with Northern Hemisphere continental warming. The early onset of sustained, significant warming in palaeoclimate records and model simulations suggests that greenhouse forcing of industrial-era warming commenced as early as the mid-nineteenth century and included an enhanced equatorial ocean response mechanism. The development of Southern Hemisphere warming is delayed in reconstructions, but this apparent delay is not reproduced in climate simulations. Our findings imply that instrumental records are too short to comprehensively assess anthropogenic climate change and that, in some regions, about 180 years of industrial-era warming has already caused surface temperatures to emerge above pre-industrial values, even when taking natural variability into account.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-236612017-09-13T14:01:06Z Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents Abram, N. McGregor, H. Tierney, J. Evans, M. McKay, N. Kaufman, D. Thirumalai, K. Martrat, B. Goosse, H. Phipps, S. Steig, E. Kilbourne, K. Saenger, C. Zinke, Jens Leduc, G. Addison, J. Mortyn, P. Seidenkrantz, M. Sicre, M. Selvaraj, K. Filipsson, H. Neukom, R. Gergis, J. Curran, M. Von Gunten, L. The evolution of industrial-era warming across the continents and oceans provides a context for future climate change and is important for determining climate sensitivity and the processes that control regional warming. Here we use post-ad 1500 palaeoclimate records to show that sustained industrial-era warming of the tropical oceans first developed during the mid-nineteenth century and was nearly synchronous with Northern Hemisphere continental warming. The early onset of sustained, significant warming in palaeoclimate records and model simulations suggests that greenhouse forcing of industrial-era warming commenced as early as the mid-nineteenth century and included an enhanced equatorial ocean response mechanism. The development of Southern Hemisphere warming is delayed in reconstructions, but this apparent delay is not reproduced in climate simulations. Our findings imply that instrumental records are too short to comprehensively assess anthropogenic climate change and that, in some regions, about 180 years of industrial-era warming has already caused surface temperatures to emerge above pre-industrial values, even when taking natural variability into account. 2016 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/23661 10.1038/nature19082 Nature Publishing Group restricted
spellingShingle Abram, N.
McGregor, H.
Tierney, J.
Evans, M.
McKay, N.
Kaufman, D.
Thirumalai, K.
Martrat, B.
Goosse, H.
Phipps, S.
Steig, E.
Kilbourne, K.
Saenger, C.
Zinke, Jens
Leduc, G.
Addison, J.
Mortyn, P.
Seidenkrantz, M.
Sicre, M.
Selvaraj, K.
Filipsson, H.
Neukom, R.
Gergis, J.
Curran, M.
Von Gunten, L.
Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
title Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
title_full Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
title_fullStr Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
title_full_unstemmed Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
title_short Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
title_sort early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/23661