Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks

This paper presents an innovative algorithm integrated with particle swarm optimization and artificial neural networks to develop short-term traffic flow predictors, which are intended to provide traffic flow forecasting information for traffic management in order to reduce traffic congestion and im...

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Main Authors: Chan, Kit, Dillon, Tharam S., Chang, Elizabeth, Singh, Jaipal
Format: Journal Article
Published: IEEE 2012
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/21786
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author Chan, Kit
Dillon, Tharam S.
Chang, Elizabeth
Singh, Jaipal
author_facet Chan, Kit
Dillon, Tharam S.
Chang, Elizabeth
Singh, Jaipal
author_sort Chan, Kit
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper presents an innovative algorithm integrated with particle swarm optimization and artificial neural networks to develop short-term traffic flow predictors, which are intended to provide traffic flow forecasting information for traffic management in order to reduce traffic congestion and improve mobility of transportation. The proposed algorithm aims to address the issues of development of short-term traffic flow predictors which have not been addressed fully in the current literature namely that: a) strongly non-linear characteristics are unavoidable in traffic flow data; b) memory space for implementation of short-term traffic flow predictors is limited; c) specification of model structures for short-term traffic flow predictors which do not involve trial and error methods based on human expertise; d) adaptation to newly-captured, traffic flow data is required. The proposed algorithm was applied to forecast traffic flow conditions on a section of freeway in Western Australia, whose traffic flow information is newly-captured. These results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness of using the proposed algorithm for real-time traffic flow forecasting.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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publishDate 2012
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-217862017-09-13T16:00:44Z Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks Chan, Kit Dillon, Tharam S. Chang, Elizabeth Singh, Jaipal particle swarm optimization traffic management time-varying modeling evolutionary algorithm traffic flow forecasting Adaptive neural network This paper presents an innovative algorithm integrated with particle swarm optimization and artificial neural networks to develop short-term traffic flow predictors, which are intended to provide traffic flow forecasting information for traffic management in order to reduce traffic congestion and improve mobility of transportation. The proposed algorithm aims to address the issues of development of short-term traffic flow predictors which have not been addressed fully in the current literature namely that: a) strongly non-linear characteristics are unavoidable in traffic flow data; b) memory space for implementation of short-term traffic flow predictors is limited; c) specification of model structures for short-term traffic flow predictors which do not involve trial and error methods based on human expertise; d) adaptation to newly-captured, traffic flow data is required. The proposed algorithm was applied to forecast traffic flow conditions on a section of freeway in Western Australia, whose traffic flow information is newly-captured. These results clearly demonstrate the effectiveness of using the proposed algorithm for real-time traffic flow forecasting. 2012 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/21786 10.1109/TCST.2011.2180386 IEEE fulltext
spellingShingle particle swarm optimization
traffic management
time-varying modeling
evolutionary algorithm
traffic flow forecasting
Adaptive neural network
Chan, Kit
Dillon, Tharam S.
Chang, Elizabeth
Singh, Jaipal
Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks
title Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks
title_full Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks
title_fullStr Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks
title_short Prediction of Short-term Traffic Variables using Intelligent Swarm-based Neural Networks
title_sort prediction of short-term traffic variables using intelligent swarm-based neural networks
topic particle swarm optimization
traffic management
time-varying modeling
evolutionary algorithm
traffic flow forecasting
Adaptive neural network
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/21786