Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia

Objective : To assess the socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus (BFV) transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia. Methods : Data on BFV notified cases, climate, tidal levels and socioeconomic index for area (SEIFA) in six coastal cities, Queensland, for the period 1992-2001...

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Main Authors: Naish, S., Hu, W., Nicholls, N., Mackenzie, John, Dale, P., McMichael, A., Tong, S.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Blackwell Publishing Ltd 2009
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/20886
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author Naish, S.
Hu, W.
Nicholls, N.
Mackenzie, John
Dale, P.
McMichael, A.
Tong, S.
author_facet Naish, S.
Hu, W.
Nicholls, N.
Mackenzie, John
Dale, P.
McMichael, A.
Tong, S.
author_sort Naish, S.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Objective : To assess the socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus (BFV) transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia. Methods : Data on BFV notified cases, climate, tidal levels and socioeconomic index for area (SEIFA) in six coastal cities, Queensland, for the period 1992-2001 were obtained from the relevant government agencies. Negative binomial regression models were used to assess the socio-environmental predictors of BFV transmission. Results : The results show that maximum and minimum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, high and low tide were statistically significantly associated with BFV incidence at lags 0-2 months. The fitted negative binomial regression models indicate a significant independent association of each of maximum temperature (ß = 0.139, P = 0.000), high tide (ß = 0.005, P = 0.000) and SEIFA index (ß = -0.010, P = 0.000) with BFV transmission after adjustment for confounding variables. Conclusions : The transmission of BFV disease in Queensland coastal areas seemed to be determined by a combination of local social and environmental factors. The model developed in this study may have applications in the control and prevention of BFV disease in these areas. © 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-208862023-02-22T06:24:24Z Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia Naish, S. Hu, W. Nicholls, N. Mackenzie, John Dale, P. McMichael, A. Tong, S. Objective : To assess the socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus (BFV) transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia. Methods : Data on BFV notified cases, climate, tidal levels and socioeconomic index for area (SEIFA) in six coastal cities, Queensland, for the period 1992-2001 were obtained from the relevant government agencies. Negative binomial regression models were used to assess the socio-environmental predictors of BFV transmission. Results : The results show that maximum and minimum temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, high and low tide were statistically significantly associated with BFV incidence at lags 0-2 months. The fitted negative binomial regression models indicate a significant independent association of each of maximum temperature (ß = 0.139, P = 0.000), high tide (ß = 0.005, P = 0.000) and SEIFA index (ß = -0.010, P = 0.000) with BFV transmission after adjustment for confounding variables. Conclusions : The transmission of BFV disease in Queensland coastal areas seemed to be determined by a combination of local social and environmental factors. The model developed in this study may have applications in the control and prevention of BFV disease in these areas. © 2009 Blackwell Publishing Ltd. 2009 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/20886 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2008.02217.x Blackwell Publishing Ltd unknown
spellingShingle Naish, S.
Hu, W.
Nicholls, N.
Mackenzie, John
Dale, P.
McMichael, A.
Tong, S.
Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia
title Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia
title_full Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia
title_fullStr Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia
title_full_unstemmed Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia
title_short Socio-environmental predictors of Barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, Queensland, Australia
title_sort socio-environmental predictors of barmah forest virus transmission in coastal areas, queensland, australia
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/20886