Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade

This paper reports on a model building process developed to enable multiple audiences, particularly non-experts, to appreciate the validity of the models being built and their outcomes. The process is a four stage reversible cascade. This cascade provides a structured, auditable/transparent, formali...

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Main Authors: Howick, S., Eden, C., Ackermann, Fran, Williams, T.
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier BV * North-Holland 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221707002408
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/19811
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author Howick, S.
Eden, C.
Ackermann, Fran
Williams, T.
author_facet Howick, S.
Eden, C.
Ackermann, Fran
Williams, T.
author_sort Howick, S.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper reports on a model building process developed to enable multiple audiences, particularly non-experts, to appreciate the validity of the models being built and their outcomes. The process is a four stage reversible cascade. This cascade provides a structured, auditable/transparent, formalized process from “real world” interviews generating a rich qualitative model through two intermediate steps before arriving at a quantitative simulation model. There are a number of advantages of the cascade process including; achieving comprehensiveness, developing organizational learning, testing the veracity of multiple perspectives, modeling transparency, achieving common understanding across many audiences and promoting confidence building in the models. The paper, based on extensive work with organizations, discusses both the cascade process and its inherent benefits.
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format Journal Article
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
institution_category Local University
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publishDate 2008
publisher Elsevier BV * North-Holland
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-198112017-09-13T13:51:03Z Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade Howick, S. Eden, C. Ackermann, Fran Williams, T. Cognitive mapping Validity Simulation Cause mapping This paper reports on a model building process developed to enable multiple audiences, particularly non-experts, to appreciate the validity of the models being built and their outcomes. The process is a four stage reversible cascade. This cascade provides a structured, auditable/transparent, formalized process from “real world” interviews generating a rich qualitative model through two intermediate steps before arriving at a quantitative simulation model. There are a number of advantages of the cascade process including; achieving comprehensiveness, developing organizational learning, testing the veracity of multiple perspectives, modeling transparency, achieving common understanding across many audiences and promoting confidence building in the models. The paper, based on extensive work with organizations, discusses both the cascade process and its inherent benefits. 2008 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/19811 10.1016/j.ejor.2007.02.027 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221707002408 Elsevier BV * North-Holland restricted
spellingShingle Cognitive mapping
Validity
Simulation
Cause mapping
Howick, S.
Eden, C.
Ackermann, Fran
Williams, T.
Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
title Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
title_full Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
title_fullStr Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
title_full_unstemmed Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
title_short Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
title_sort building confidence in models for multiple audiences: the modelling cascade
topic Cognitive mapping
Validity
Simulation
Cause mapping
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221707002408
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/19811