SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments

Aggression and other acute harms experienced in the night-time economy are topics of significant public health concern. Although policies to minimise these harms are frequently proposed, there is often little evidence available to support their effectiveness. In particular, indirect and displacement...

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Main Authors: Scott, N., Livingston, M., Hart, Anthony, Wilson, James, Moore, David, Dietze, P.
Format: Journal Article
Published: University of Surrey 2016
Online Access:http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP110101720
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/17070
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author Scott, N.
Livingston, M.
Hart, Anthony
Wilson, James
Moore, David
Dietze, P.
author_facet Scott, N.
Livingston, M.
Hart, Anthony
Wilson, James
Moore, David
Dietze, P.
author_sort Scott, N.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Aggression and other acute harms experienced in the night-time economy are topics of significant public health concern. Although policies to minimise these harms are frequently proposed, there is often little evidence available to support their effectiveness. In particular, indirect and displacement effects are rarely measured. This paper describes a proof-of-concept agent-based model ‘SimDrink’, built in NetLogo, which simulates a population of 18-25 year old heavy alcohol drinkers on a night out in Melbourne to provide a means for conducting policy experiments to inform policy decisions. The model includes demographic, setting and situational-behavioural heterogeneity and is able to capture any unintended consequences of policy changes. It consists of individuals and their friendship groups moving between private, public-commercial (e.g. nightclub) and public-niche (e.g. bar, pub) venues while tracking their alcohol consumption, spending and whether or not they experience consumption-related harms (i.e. drink too much), are involved in verbal violence, or have difficulty getting home. When compared to available literature, the model can reproduce current estimates for the prevalence of verbal violence experienced by this population on a single night out, and produce realistic values for the prevalence of consumption-related and transport-related harms. Outputs are robust to variations in underlying parameters. Further work with policy makers is required to identify several specific proposed harm reduction interventions that can be virtually implemented and compared. This will allow evidence based decisions to be made and will help to ensure any interventions have their intended effects.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-170702017-11-30T08:15:09Z SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments Scott, N. Livingston, M. Hart, Anthony Wilson, James Moore, David Dietze, P. Aggression and other acute harms experienced in the night-time economy are topics of significant public health concern. Although policies to minimise these harms are frequently proposed, there is often little evidence available to support their effectiveness. In particular, indirect and displacement effects are rarely measured. This paper describes a proof-of-concept agent-based model ‘SimDrink’, built in NetLogo, which simulates a population of 18-25 year old heavy alcohol drinkers on a night out in Melbourne to provide a means for conducting policy experiments to inform policy decisions. The model includes demographic, setting and situational-behavioural heterogeneity and is able to capture any unintended consequences of policy changes. It consists of individuals and their friendship groups moving between private, public-commercial (e.g. nightclub) and public-niche (e.g. bar, pub) venues while tracking their alcohol consumption, spending and whether or not they experience consumption-related harms (i.e. drink too much), are involved in verbal violence, or have difficulty getting home. When compared to available literature, the model can reproduce current estimates for the prevalence of verbal violence experienced by this population on a single night out, and produce realistic values for the prevalence of consumption-related and transport-related harms. Outputs are robust to variations in underlying parameters. Further work with policy makers is required to identify several specific proposed harm reduction interventions that can be virtually implemented and compared. This will allow evidence based decisions to be made and will help to ensure any interventions have their intended effects. 2016 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/17070 10.18564/jasss.2943 http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP110101720 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ University of Surrey unknown
spellingShingle Scott, N.
Livingston, M.
Hart, Anthony
Wilson, James
Moore, David
Dietze, P.
SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
title SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
title_full SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
title_fullStr SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
title_full_unstemmed SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
title_short SimDrink: An agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
title_sort simdrink: an agent-based netlogo model of young, heavy drinkers for conducting alcohol policy experiments
url http://purl.org/au-research/grants/arc/DP110101720
http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/17070