Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall

This study evaluates the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating the characteristics of rainfall patterns over eastern Africa. The seasonal climatology, annual rainfall cycles, and interannual variability of RCM...

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Main Authors: Endris, H., Omondi, P., Jain, S., Lennard, C., Hewitson, B., Chang’a, L., Awange, Joseph, Dosio, A., Ketiem, P., Nikulin, G., Panitz, H., Büchner, M., Stordal, F., Tazalika, L.
Format: Journal Article
Published: American Meteorological Society 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/13807
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author Endris, H.
Omondi, P.
Jain, S.
Lennard, C.
Hewitson, B.
Chang’a, L.
Awange, Joseph
Dosio, A.
Ketiem, P.
Nikulin, G.
Panitz, H.
Büchner, M.
Stordal, F.
Tazalika, L.
author_facet Endris, H.
Omondi, P.
Jain, S.
Lennard, C.
Hewitson, B.
Chang’a, L.
Awange, Joseph
Dosio, A.
Ketiem, P.
Nikulin, G.
Panitz, H.
Büchner, M.
Stordal, F.
Tazalika, L.
author_sort Endris, H.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This study evaluates the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating the characteristics of rainfall patterns over eastern Africa. The seasonal climatology, annual rainfall cycles, and interannual variability of RCM output have been assessed over three homogeneous subregions against a number of observational datasets. The ability of the RCMs in simulating large-scale global climate forcing signals is further assessed by compositing the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) events. It is found that most RCMs reasonably simulate the main features of the rainfall climatology over the three subregions and also reproduce the majority of the documented regional responses to ENSO and IOD forcings. At the same time the analysis shows significant biases in individual models depending on subregion and season; however, the ensemble mean has better agreement with observation than individual models. In general, the analysis herein demonstrates that the multimodel ensemble mean simulates eastern Africa rainfall adequately and can therefore be used for the assessment of future climate projections for the region.
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institution Curtin University Malaysia
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publishDate 2013
publisher American Meteorological Society
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-138072017-09-13T15:01:03Z Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall Endris, H. Omondi, P. Jain, S. Lennard, C. Hewitson, B. Chang’a, L. Awange, Joseph Dosio, A. Ketiem, P. Nikulin, G. Panitz, H. Büchner, M. Stordal, F. Tazalika, L. Interannual variability Climate models Rainfall Climatology ENSO Model comparison This study evaluates the ability of 10 regional climate models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) in simulating the characteristics of rainfall patterns over eastern Africa. The seasonal climatology, annual rainfall cycles, and interannual variability of RCM output have been assessed over three homogeneous subregions against a number of observational datasets. The ability of the RCMs in simulating large-scale global climate forcing signals is further assessed by compositing the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) events. It is found that most RCMs reasonably simulate the main features of the rainfall climatology over the three subregions and also reproduce the majority of the documented regional responses to ENSO and IOD forcings. At the same time the analysis shows significant biases in individual models depending on subregion and season; however, the ensemble mean has better agreement with observation than individual models. In general, the analysis herein demonstrates that the multimodel ensemble mean simulates eastern Africa rainfall adequately and can therefore be used for the assessment of future climate projections for the region. 2013 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/13807 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00708.1 American Meteorological Society fulltext
spellingShingle Interannual variability
Climate models
Rainfall
Climatology
ENSO
Model comparison
Endris, H.
Omondi, P.
Jain, S.
Lennard, C.
Hewitson, B.
Chang’a, L.
Awange, Joseph
Dosio, A.
Ketiem, P.
Nikulin, G.
Panitz, H.
Büchner, M.
Stordal, F.
Tazalika, L.
Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall
title Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall
title_full Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall
title_fullStr Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall
title_short Assessment of the performance of CORDEX Regional Climate Models in Simulating Eastern Africa Rainfall
title_sort assessment of the performance of cordex regional climate models in simulating eastern africa rainfall
topic Interannual variability
Climate models
Rainfall
Climatology
ENSO
Model comparison
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/13807