Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis

Metallurgical and other chemical process systems are often too complex to model from first principles. In such situations the alternative is to identify the systems from historic process data. Such identification can pose problems of its own and before attempting to identify the system, it may be im...

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Main Authors: Jemwa, G., Aldrich, Chris
Format: Journal Article
Published: Elsevier 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/13300
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author Jemwa, G.
Aldrich, Chris
author_facet Jemwa, G.
Aldrich, Chris
author_sort Jemwa, G.
building Curtin Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Metallurgical and other chemical process systems are often too complex to model from first principles. In such situations the alternative is to identify the systems from historic process data. Such identification can pose problems of its own and before attempting to identify the system, it may be important to determine whether a particular model structure is justified by the data before building the model. For example, the analyst may wish to distinguish between nonlinear (deterministic) processes and linear (stochastic) processes to justify the use of a particular methodology for dealing with the time series observations, or else it may be important to distinguish between different stochastic models. In this paper the use of a linear method called singular spectrum analysis (SSA) to classify time series data is discussed. The method is based on principal component analysis of an augmented data set consisting of the original time series data and lagged copies of the data. In addition, a nonlinear extension of SSA based on kernel-based eigenvalue decomposition is introduced. The usefulness of kernel SSA as a complementary tool in the search for evidence of nonlinearity in time series data or for testing other hypotheses about such data is illustrated by simulated and real-world case studies.
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spelling curtin-20.500.11937-133002017-02-28T01:33:48Z Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis Jemwa, G. Aldrich, Chris Surrogate analysis Singular spectrum analysis Kernel methods Nonlinear principal component analysis Time series analysis Metallurgical and other chemical process systems are often too complex to model from first principles. In such situations the alternative is to identify the systems from historic process data. Such identification can pose problems of its own and before attempting to identify the system, it may be important to determine whether a particular model structure is justified by the data before building the model. For example, the analyst may wish to distinguish between nonlinear (deterministic) processes and linear (stochastic) processes to justify the use of a particular methodology for dealing with the time series observations, or else it may be important to distinguish between different stochastic models. In this paper the use of a linear method called singular spectrum analysis (SSA) to classify time series data is discussed. The method is based on principal component analysis of an augmented data set consisting of the original time series data and lagged copies of the data. In addition, a nonlinear extension of SSA based on kernel-based eigenvalue decomposition is introduced. The usefulness of kernel SSA as a complementary tool in the search for evidence of nonlinearity in time series data or for testing other hypotheses about such data is illustrated by simulated and real-world case studies. 2006 Journal Article http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/13300 Elsevier restricted
spellingShingle Surrogate analysis
Singular spectrum analysis
Kernel methods
Nonlinear principal component analysis
Time series analysis
Jemwa, G.
Aldrich, Chris
Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis
title Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis
title_full Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis
title_fullStr Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis
title_full_unstemmed Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis
title_short Classification of process dynamics with Monte Carlo singular spectrum analysis
title_sort classification of process dynamics with monte carlo singular spectrum analysis
topic Surrogate analysis
Singular spectrum analysis
Kernel methods
Nonlinear principal component analysis
Time series analysis
url http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/13300